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# A month after the Nvidia print, the scorecard

> Before Nvidia's August 26 earnings, the accounts with the best track records on Quantral were 6-to-1 bullish, and the page said so with names attached. A month later the stock is up 8.5%, where the same setup in May lost 4.8%. Four calls printed before the tape moved, four resolved: Nvidia, Marvell, the memory stocks, and Nebius.

By Maya Koeva · 2026-09-22

![Two thin lines leaving the same point on a vertical dashed line, one sagging below the baseline and one rising above it, with a small coral circle at the end of the rising line.](/blog/nvidia-one-month-scorecard.webp)

If you had the [Nvidia](/stocks/NVDA) page open in Quantral on the afternoon of August 26,
before the print, you saw a room that was 62 to 11 bullish among the accounts with the best
track records, on a stock that had closed red eight times in nine sessions. We published that
reading the next morning with the names attached and refused to call it a win, because the
May print had the same setup and the stock gave back 10.2% in three weeks.

A month later, at Monday's close, Nvidia is up 8.5% from the last close before the print. The
same clock after the May print was down 4.8%. This page grades that reading and the three we
printed alongside it: Marvell's earnings, the four memory stocks Jim Cramer named, and Nebius.
All four are measured against what the app showed before the price moved.

## Nvidia: what the pre-print read was worth

Each column is measured from its own print. The August window runs from the $209.66 close
on August 26 to Monday, September 21, seventeen sessions. The May window runs the same
seventeen sessions from the $223.21 close on May 20 to June 15.

| | May 20 print | August 26 print |
|---|---:|---:|
| Print-day close | $223.21 | $209.66 |
| Next session | -1.8% | +8.7% |
| Session 5 | -4.1% | +7.0% |
| Session 11 | -8.1% | +4.1% |
| Three weeks | -10.2% | +2.0% |
| Session 17, a month on | -4.8% | +8.5% |
| Close at session 17 | $212.45 (June 15) | $227.38 (September 21) |

August never went red. Nvidia ran to $230.36 on September 4, then closed red five sessions in
a row into the September 14 chip selloff, finishing that day at $210.96, $1.30 above the
pre-print close. At the three-week mark it was up 2.0%, a thin result. Then it closed green
five sessions running, 7.8% off the September 14 low, and finished Monday at $227.38, 60
cents below the post-print pop close. The room that went in 6-to-1 bullish was right, and
the extra week turned a thin margin into a clear one.

A reader who bought the post-print pop is flat. A reader who bought the September 14 close,
with the graded room 6-to-1 bullish that week and the score holding at 80, is up 7.8%.
The reading that paid was the one made before the print, and the one that held through the
scare.

## The accounts that made the call

Since the reaction bar cleared on August 28, Nvidia has drawn 396 subject mentions across the
accounts Quantral tracks, 256 bullish to 105 bearish. The accounts with a
[credibility score](/learn/what-is-a-credibility-score) above 0.5 and at least ten graded
calls went 70 to 10 across 16 accounts, all on X. Their lean held through the run to the
high, the five red closes and the bounce; the bearish share of the wider crowd doubled after
the first week and stayed there.

*[Chart: Nvidia mentions on Quantral, August 29 to September 22. Green is bullish, red bearish. The biggest bar arrived with the September 10 red close; the September 15 bar covers the September 14 selloff. The September 18 bar is the one bar of the month with more bearish than bullish calls in it, on a day the stock closed up 1.3%. The last bar is partial, counted through early Tuesday morning ET.]*

The best bearish argument since the print came from a bull. On September 2, CKCapitalxx
pointed out that a quarter of 106% revenue growth had bought a 25% move in the stock and the
market had stopped rewarding blowout quarters. That is the May argument, from an account
that put out a buy alert after the print and added on September 15, the day after the
selloff. TheValueist, the most active account in the window at 19 bullish to 6 bearish, spent
the bearish calls demanding a buyback ("total dog, IV growth is nonexistent, Jensen, buy the
damn stock back") and the bullish ones on demand read-throughs from Blackstone's investor
day and Nscale's S-1. None of the accounts in the table has flipped.

| Account | Graded calls | NVDA since the print |
| --- | ---: | :-- |
| @TheValueist | 1,215 | 19 bullish, 6 bearish |
| @ren_stocks | 460 | 10 bullish, 1 bearish |
| @aleabitoreddit | 1,626 | 7 bullish, 0 bearish |
| @CKCapitalxx | 777 | 7 bullish, 1 bearish |
| @babyfolio | 292 | 5 bullish, 0 bearish |
| @epictrades1 | 130 | 5 bullish, 0 bearish |
| @jukan05 | 172 | 3 bullish, 0 bearish |
| @amitisinvesting | 78 | 3 bullish, 0 bearish |
| @ParadisLabs | 1,301 | 2 bullish, 1 bearish |
| @daniel_koss | 337 | 2 bullish, 0 bearish |

Every row is a live page in the app: the account's record, its open calls, and how each one
resolved.

## The score

Nvidia's 7-day score read 75 the morning of the print, against eight red closes, and held
within a point of 80 through the run, the selloff and the bounce. The tape came to it. This
morning it reads 64 on a stock at its post-print high: the conversation has more bears in it
than it did in the first week, and the score follows the conversation, not the price. That
is the next disagreement on the record, and we will grade it the same way.

## Marvell: the day it lost and the month it won

Going into Marvell's August 27 print, the [Marvell](/stocks/MRVL) page showed the accounts we
track at 74 bullish to 17 bearish over ten days, and the graded accounts 14 to 0, at a score
of 79. Marvell reported after the close and fell 10.3% the next session, to $216.62. By
September 2 it was down 14.5%. The room lost the day, and we counted it as a loss.

That is where most readers would have stopped watching. The reaction bar that morning ran 50
bullish to 30 bearish, and the bearish half was Reddit call buyers who had bought the room's
read and paid for it: "RIP to calls", "back to Monday level and it's over". The graded
accounts in the same bar did not move. Since the print they have run 17 to 2 bullish across
12 accounts, 4 to 0 since September 17, on custom silicon content per system and the
expanded GlobalFoundries agreement.

Marvell closed Monday at $257.38. That is 6.6% above the close it went into the print at,
24.7% above the September 2 low, and 18.8% above the reaction-bar close where the call buyers
sold. The page told you two things that morning, and they pointed in opposite directions:
the crowd was cutting and the accounts with records were holding. A month later the second
read was the one worth having. Next dated test: Marvell's analyst day on October 6, which
one of the tracked accounts flagged the week after the print.

## The memory stocks: the order held, and the recovery came

On August 20, when Jim Cramer named four memory stocks, the graded accounts on Quantral
[backed two of them and doubted a third](/blog/jim-cramer-memory-stocks): bullish on
[Micron](/stocks/MU) and [SanDisk](/stocks/SNDK), 8 to 12 bearish on Western Digital against
Cramer's buyback case, and too thin a read on Seagate to call. For four weeks all four names
fell together, and at each checkpoint the name the room doubted was down against Cramer's
buy call. On September 16 all four were still underwater, Western Digital the worst of the
four. Then the group turned.

| Company | The graded room, Aug 20 | Since Aug 17 | Since the print | Graded calls since |
|---------|---|---:|---:|---|
| SanDisk (SNDK) | Bullish | -1.1% | +17.8% | 48 : 8 bullish |
| Micron (MU) | Bullish | +3.2% | +11.2% | 53 : 6 bullish |
| Seagate (STX) | No read | -11.8% | +3.7% | 2 : 0, 3 mentions |
| Western Digital (WDC) | Bearish | -16.4% | -4.4% | 2 : 0, 15 mentions |

Price moves run from the August 17 close, the day Cramer named them, and from the August 26
close before the Nvidia print. A buyer on the day Cramer named them is up on Micron, flat on
SanDisk, and down double digits on the two the graded room did not back. Since the print,
the two backed names are up 17.8% and 11.2%, and the name the room leaned against is the
only one of the four still down. Five weeks in, the disagreement with Cramer on Western
Digital has gone to the room at every measurement.

A rally lifts every bullish room. It does not put the two names the room backed at the top
of the group and the one it doubted at the bottom, which is where they have sat since the
print at both checkpoints. That ordering is what the page gave you on August 20 that a
headline did not. Western Digital has drawn 15 mentions from the accounts we track since the print, two of
them graded, both basket posts. That is our coverage thinning, not a verdict.

## Nebius: the price came round to the room

[Nebius](/stocks/NBIS) was the most credible room on the board on August 21 and had the worst
week, down 21.1%. For three weeks the price stayed against it: a run to $243.88 on September
8, then all of it given back, to $209.37 on September 16. The room did not move. Since the
print it has run 219 bullish to 38 bearish, the graded accounts 126 to 13 across 18
accounts, the widest graded lean in this scorecard.

On September 17 Nebius raised its on-demand GPU rental rates by 17% to 21%, the second
increase in four months, and the graded accounts read it the same way in a dozen posts: a
company raising prices on older H100 and H200 capacity has more demand than supply. Nebius
closed green three sessions running and finished Monday at $232.80, up 11.2% from September
16 and 6.2% above the August 21 close we measured from. A sell initiation from Rothschild &
Co Redburn on Tuesday morning, with an $84 target, drew three reactions from the tracked
accounts, two of them mocking it. The score is 77. Mark it with the room, by a margin a week
of selling would erase.

## What to take from this

Four calls printed before the tape moved, four resolved, and every one of them resolved in
the same three sessions that took the whole chip group up. The rooms did not call the week
the group would turn, and neither did we. They called the names: which ones the accounts
with records were backing, which one they doubted, and which room was still holding
after a print it lost.

Three of those reads were worth money to a reader who had them open at the time. The
Nvidia room was 6-to-1 bullish before a print that paid 8.5% in a month. The Marvell page
showed the graded accounts holding while the crowd sold the reaction, on a stock that is
18.8% higher since. The memory page put Micron and SanDisk above Western Digital five weeks
before the tape agreed. The fourth, Nebius, took a month to come round and is with the
room by 6.2%.

As of this morning the 7-day scores read Nvidia 64, Marvell 81, Micron 83, SanDisk 82,
Nebius 77. Those are readings of the current conversation, not predictions. The reading that
mattered here was the one taken before each move, with the names and track records attached,
and that is what the page shows you on any of these names today.

## See the live reading

<Stores />

Open any of the five names in the app, on the web at
[app.quantral.com](https://app.quantral.com), on iOS, or on Android, and read the score, every
call behind it, and the track record of each account that made one.

---

*Mention counts are subject mentions across the accounts Quantral tracks, bucketed in rolling
24-hour windows matching the in-app chart; the post-print window runs from the August 29
bucket through early Tuesday morning ET, September 22. "Graded" means the author's
credibility score is above 0.5 with at least ten lifetime graded calls. Pre-print figures, the
May comparison baseline and the memory-room leans are quoted as published in the linked
pieces. Prices are daily closes through September 21; the May and August windows are seventeen
sessions each. Quantral surfaces signals and context from public sources to support your own
research. Nothing here is financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Past signals
are not indicative of future results.*
